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中国早幼教江湖版图——资本、儿童内容、亲子服务、启蒙英语、托管早教等从业者必看!

转载来源:幼教观察 发布日期:2019年06月24日 教育培训

早幼教行业从未像今天这样迎来高速变革和发展新高潮!2018年底一纸令下,民办幼儿园与资本隔河两端,也代表着中国民办幼儿园的黄金时代骤然逝去;在线教育的崛起上演着冰与火之歌,即使现金收入超50亿体量的VIPKID、掌门1对1等仍未看到盈利的曙光;同时,0-3岁托育赛道大热,城市职业女性的人数大幅上涨,加上国家“全面二孩政策”的出台,对日托中心的实际需求与日俱增……

早幼教市场用户需求迭代演变,用户需要怎样的产品和服务?学前赛道持续吸金,资本到底最看重哪些项目?早幼教创业者众多,到底如何跑通值得信赖且复制性高的商业模式?

如今早幼教逐渐成为政策、家庭、企业、园所、资本的聚焦之处,行业发展大势更是令人关注:

民办园将面临数量萎缩、资本退潮,政府财政压力过大

2019年中央财政支持学前教育发展专项资金168.5亿元,但根据已出台的各地补贴政策也可以看出,金额与各地区经济水平挂钩;如果民办幼儿园一刀切,不太可能。为达到80%的普惠幼儿园占比,已出现一些政府招投标的公建私营的普惠型幼儿园,但由于补贴金额不理想,教学体系较为完整的委托经营模式服务商参与积极性并不高。

究其原因分析:一方面,民办园要面对政策的普惠要求,以及釜底抽薪式的“整治小区配建园”,一园关闭,几百家孩子无园可入;另一方面,商业租金带来沉重的运营压力,涨价则是自负盈亏。如在二线城市,将幼儿园收费从通常的每月3000元,涨到6000元以上,完全是开不下去的,同时公办园待遇改善加速了民办园教师流失。民办园将面临数量萎缩、资本退潮,并将或主动或被动地承担普惠性公共服务职能。

长期看,教师培训、委托经营、服务购买成为趋势

就当下,中式家庭对于育儿人均消费投入来看,幼教仍然是一个不可多得的好行业。根据教育部公布的2018年教育发展大数据,2018年,全国拥有幼儿园26.67万所,其中普惠性幼儿园18.29万所,占比为68.57%。要达到80%的政策要求,仍有大量的幼儿园需要各方面的升级。而在教师方面,2018年,全国幼儿园专任教师共258.14万人,其中接受过学前教育专业的比例为70.94%,可见师资的培训与升级也有不小的空间。

而根据政策要求,2020年本专科学前教育专业毕业生规模达到20万人,目前,学前教育师资缺口巨大,教师培训市场成为刚需。

以目前政府采取建、收、扩、租四步推行的学前教育普惠化进程,参考格局较为稳定的义务教育阶段,国有资本购买服务、委托经营将成为趋势。另外,由于已明确禁止学前教育证券化,原有连锁经营幼儿园势必向技术、服务提供商转变,以期寻找新的出口。

托育赛道的未来,还是一片蓝海

政策利好之下,托育机构的发展开始起步。目前,婴幼儿托育行业融资数据达到4起,其中部分机构如纽诺教育和圣顿教育,较受资本青睐,一年融资两次。但值得注意的是,托育毕竟不是教培行业,它的地域属性极强,且覆盖范围小。因此早期托育机构大多以社区为单位展开,很少以连锁的方式进行,行业准入门槛不高,以看护为主,这类机构良莠不齐,缺乏行业标准和监管制度。

2018年全国新出生人口1523万人,比去年下降200万人。究其原因分析新生儿的下降包括育儿成本过高、照料负担过重、女性权益保障不足等因素造成的。近年来,国家支持社会力量兴办托育服务机构利好不断,幼有所育迫在眉睫。

2019年中国婴幼儿托育服务可分为两类,一类是教育部门管理机构,包括托儿所、民办幼儿园“小小班”;另一类是市场化机构,包括托管中心、早教中心及亲子园。

新家庭消费环境下,新一代父母对托管的期望,不再是单单照看孩子,他们也想让孩子享受早期教育。据Frost&Sullivan预测中国早教行业的市场规模将以16.1%左右的增速增长,并在2021年达到2710亿元左右。未来,托育和新的线下“亲子中心”将持续增长。大好的前景下,幼托机构会面临哪些问题?如一些托管机构如书香源低价策略,创收源头少,利润空间小,故生存压力较大;而响丁当少儿托则存在分布广、管理难度大问题。

在没有完全由政府提供规范的托育体制下,幼托行业均存在诸如准入门槛低、行业利润率低、规?;潭鹊?、品牌竞争力不强,知识产权意识淡薄、监管机制不健全等诸多痛点。目前中国托育市场竞争格局还存在较大的不确定性,随着市场规模的逐步爆发,新进入机构和现有机构的竞争将加剧,各大机构的各自阵地仍有待深耕以提升自身竞争力。

早幼教低龄化 素质教育逐步走向刚性

2018年早幼教投融资占据了母婴全行业的半壁江山,大量资本涌入早幼教领域,幼教低龄化趋势愈加明显。从用户角度,新生代妈妈对早期教育理念的认可度和接受度越来越高,全面且专业的早教内容是主要诉求。

相比高分成绩,新生代家庭更看重孩子的素质能力培养,在政策方面,素质教育领域长期受到政策支持,2018年教育部从政策端将STEAM教育相关内容纳入课标,STEAM教育需求逐步走向刚性。

幼教行业当下正经历着深刻的变革,无论是作为孩子的父母,还是投资者,都可以看到,在万物互联时代,科技术将改变课堂及家庭学习场景,产品和研发将成为竞争壁垒,在线教育标的逐步走向成熟。

科技不断迭代,教育将发生大的改变,就像凯叔讲故事创始人王凯曾在2018樱桃大赏上说过:教育不是生来反人性,而科技能够让未来的教育越来越顺应人性。因为科技的变化,教育的概念范畴都会发生变化,所有的教育都值得重新解构一遍。

科学技术是第一生产力,学前教育作为终身学习的开端,是国民教育体系的重要组成部分,也是重要的民生工程。

网友评论

前海沿

  • (游客) 1小时前

回复主题:河南济源市人民医院回应“窗口低孕妇跪着就诊”并发布情况通报 医院已报警并与当事人取得联系

没什么不合理的,这样的窗口如果你常出门就会发现多了去了,银行也这么高,这样的窗口一般你站着或者坐着递进去材料就行了,双方交流的话一般在窗口上方有喇叭扩音器,并且玻璃都是透明的,无障碍交流和里面交流,没必要把头伸到窗口和里面的人交流。

李格瑞德

  • (游客) 2小时前

回复主题:河南济源市人民医院回应“窗口低孕妇跪着就诊”并发布情况通报 医院已报警并与当事人取得联系

有同志说这个窗口不算矮,并且工作人员也提供了凳子,是当事孕妇自己选择了跪着这一姿势。从现场照片看,旁边黑衣男子是低头躬身的姿势。所以,为什么医院要把窗口设计成让人低头弯腰的高度呢?这个高度到底是方便了窗口内坐着的工作人员?还是窗口外来就医的病患?人民医院有没有全心全意为人民服务呢?

代号折腾

  • (游客) 8天前

回复主题:吉林省榆树市人民医院“急诊科和神经外科互相推诿给孩子处理伤口”调查处理通报

现在的医生怕担责任,上次去医院孩子眼皮碰个口子,急诊不接,门诊医生让去做手术,手术室医生说孩子太小手术需要全麻危险太大,让去门诊包扎一下,到了门诊医生又说处理不好必须手术。当时我就想把那医生杀了,最后找了个关系把孩子的伤口处理了。我真是体会到了那些杀医生的心情了。

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